{"id":4964,"date":"2026-11-13T03:49:59","date_gmt":"2026-11-13T03:49:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vistashares.com\/what-is-a-supercycle-in-investing\/"},"modified":"2026-11-13T21:42:41","modified_gmt":"2026-11-13T21:42:41","slug":"what-is-a-supercycle-in-investing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vistashares.com\/ko\/what-is-a-supercycle-in-investing\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud22c\uc790\uc5d0\uc11c \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774\ub780 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"byline\">VistaShares \ucd5c\uace0\uacbd\uc601\uc790(CEO) Adam Patti \uc791\uc131 | 2026\ub144 11\uc6d4<\/p>\n<p class=\"lead\">\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \ud754\ud788 10\ub144 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc77c\ub828\uc758 \uc7ac\ud654 \ub610\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc18d\ub3c4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uc5ec \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uacfc \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc6a9\uc5b4\ub294 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uad00\ud55c \uc5f0\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub798\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud574\ub2f9 \uc5f0\uad6c\ub294 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud654 \uc2dc\uae30\uc640 \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc7a5\uae30 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ubc1c\uacac\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc624\ub298\ub0a0 \uc774 \uc6a9\uc5b4\ub294 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc778\ud504\ub77c, \ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4, \ubc29\uc704 \ub4f1\uc758 \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud22c\uc790 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uadf8\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\uc900\uc744 \ucda9\uc871\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uc774 \uc6a9\uc5b4\ub294 \uc5b4\ub514\uc5d0\uc11c \uc720\ub798\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"body\">\uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uae38\uc774\uc758 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\ub85c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc778\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uc624\ub798\uc804\ubd80\ud130 \uad00\ucc30\ud574 \uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989, \ub0a0\uc528, \uc7ac\uace0 \ub610\ub294 \uacbd\uae30 \uc21c\ud658\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \ub2e8\uae30 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uacfc, \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc758 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc640 \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \uae34 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\">\uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790 \ube4c\uac8c \uc5d0\ub974\ud150(Bilge Erten)\uacfc \ud638\uc138 \uc548\ud1a0\ub2c8\uc624 \uc624\uce84\ud3ec(Jos\u00e9 Antonio Ocampo)\uc758 \uc5f0\uad6c\ub294 1865\ub144\ubd80\ud130 2009\ub144 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ub124 \ucc28\ub840\uc758 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9 \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uac01 \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc2dc\uc791\ubd80\ud130 \uc885\ub8cc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub300\ub7b5 30~40\ub144\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uc5c8\uace0 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \ucd94\uc138 \ub300\ube44 20%~40% \ub192\uac70\ub098 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<sup>1<\/sup> \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 10~35\ub144\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub85c\uc368 20~70\ub144\uc758 \uc644\uc804\ud55c \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc124\uba85\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc758 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ube44\uc11d\uc720 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc744 \ub530\ub77c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc8fc\ub85c \uc218\uc694\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uacac\uc778\ub418\uc5c8\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<sup>2<\/sup><\/p>\n<p class=\"body\">\uacbd\uc81c\ud559\uc790 \ub370\uc774\ube44\ub4dc \uc7ad\uc2a4(David Jacks)\ub294 30\uac1c \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\uc758 160\ub144\uac04 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uc5f0\uad6c\ud558\uc5ec, \ub9c8\ucc2c\uac00\uc9c0\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \ub300\ub7b5 10~35\ub144\uc778 \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc744 \ubc1c\uacac\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud654 \ubc0f \ub3c4\uc2dc\ud654\uc640 \ubc00\uc811\ud558\uac8c \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uc218\uc694 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud615 \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<sup>3<\/sup><\/p>\n<h2>\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"body\">\uc5f0\uad6c\ub294 \uacf5\ud1b5\ub41c \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uc9c0\uc801\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989, \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc694 \uc99d\uac00\uac00 \ud655\ub300\ub418\ub294 \ub370 \uc218\ub144\uc774 \uac78\ub9ac\ub294 \uacf5\uae09\uacfc \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc218\uc694\uc6d0.<\/strong> \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6d\uba74\uc740 19\uc138\uae30 \ud6c4\ubc18\uacfc 20\uc138\uae30 \ucd08\ubc18\uc758 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud654, \uc804\ud6c4 \uc7ac\uac74, \ub300\ud615 \uc2e0\ud765\uacbd\uc81c\uad6d\uc758 \uae09\uc18d\ud55c \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud654 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uacbd\uc81c \ubcc0\ud601\uacfc \uc2dc\uae30\uac00 \uc77c\uce58\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<sup>1<\/sup><\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\ub290\ub9b0 \uacf5\uae09 \ub300\uc751.<\/strong> \uc2e0\uaddc \uad11\uc0b0, \uc720\uc804, \ubc1c\uc804\uc18c \ubc0f \uacf5\uc7a5\uc740 \uacc4\ud68d, \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec, \uc778\ud5c8\uac00 \ubc0f \uac74\uc124\uc5d0 \uc218\ub144\uc774 \uac78\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub530\ub77c\uc7a1\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \uadf8 \uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9\uacfc \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\uac15\ud654 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \ud22c\uc790.<\/strong> \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc694\ub294 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \ucd09\uc9c4\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud22c\uc790 \uc790\uccb4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc790\uc7ac, \uc7a5\ube44 \ubc0f \ub178\ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \ucd94\uac00 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\">\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \ub530\ub77c\uc7a1\uac70\ub098 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \ub54c \uc885\ub8cc\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \ud6c4 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \uad6d\uba74 \ub3d9\uc548 \uad6c\ucd95\ub41c \uc2e0\uaddc \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \ud558\uac15 \uad6d\uba74\uc758 \ud55c \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uc774 \uc6a9\uc5b4\ub294 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc678\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"body\">\ud604\uc7ac \uc774 \uc6a9\uc5b4\ub294 \ud2b9\uc815 \ubc94\uc8fc\uc758 \uc778\ud504\ub77c \ub610\ub294 \uc5ed\ub7c9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ud574\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uc99d\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud22c\uc790 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud3ed\ub113\uac8c \uc801\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub807\uac8c \uc124\uba85\ub418\uae30\ub3c4 \ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\uc804\uae30\ud654\uc640 \uc804\ub825\ub9dd.<\/strong> \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130, \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5, \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ubc0f \uac74\ubb3c\uc758 \uc804\uae30\ud654\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc804\ub825 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc1a1\uc804, \ubc1c\uc804 \ubc0f \uc7a5\ube44\uc758 \ub9ac\ub4dc\ud0c0\uc784\uc774 \uae34 \uc804\ub825\ub9dd\uacfc \ub9de\ub2e5\ub728\ub9ac\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\uc758 \uae00 <a href=\"\/ko\/ai-power-and-electrification\/\">AI \uc804\ub825 \ubc0f \uc804\uae30\ud654<\/a> \uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub97c \uc790\uc138\ud788 \ub2e4\ub8f9\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\ubc18\ub3c4\uccb4\uc640 AI \uc778\ud504\ub77c.<\/strong> \uce69, \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc13c\ud130 \ubc0f \uc9c0\uc6d0 \uc7a5\ube44\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc9c0\ucd9c\uc774 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825\uc774 \uc81c\ud55c\ub41c \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2f9\uc0ac\uc758 \uae00 <a href=\"\/ko\/ai-supply-chain-chips-to-power\/\">AI \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd<\/a> \uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacc4\uce35\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\ubc29\uc704.<\/strong> \uac01\uad6d \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ub2e4\ub144\uac04\uc758 \uad6d\ubc29\ube44 \uc99d\uc561\uacfc \ud0c4\uc57d \ubc0f \uae30\ud0c0 \uccb4\uacc4\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825 \uc7ac\uac74\uc744 \uc57d\uc18d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc5d0 \uad00\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ub2f9\uc0ac\uc758 \ub2e4\uc74c \uae00\uc5d0\uc11c \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4: <a href=\"\/ko\/defense-supply-chain\/\">\ubc29\uc0b0 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\">\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc6a9\ub840\ub294 \uc6d0\ub798 \uac1c\ub150\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc744 \uacf5\uc720\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989, \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc694 \ubcc0\ud654, \ub300\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc218\ub144\uc774 \uac78\ub9ac\ub294 \uacf5\uae09, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uae34 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc804\ubc18\uc5d0 \ubd84\uc0b0\ub41c \ud22c\uc790\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\uc815 \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \uc774\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud558\ub294\uc9c0\ub294 \uba85\uce6d\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc99d\uac70\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud310\ub2e8\ud560 \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \ubc84\ube14\uacfc \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ub2e4\ub985\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"body\">\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \ubc84\ube14\uc740 \ub458 \ub2e4 \uc218\ub144\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \uacbd\uc81c\ud65c\ub3d9 \ubc0f \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc218\ubc18\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c \ucc98\uc74c\uc5d0\ub294 \ube44\uc2b7\ud574 \ubcf4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \ub3c4\uc2dc \uac74\uc124\uc5d0 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc790\uc7ac\ub098 \uc804\ub825\ub9dd \ud655\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc7a5\ube44\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uc2e4\uc9c8 \uc218\uc694\uc758 \uce21\uc815 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc640, \uc2e0\uc18d\ud558\uac8c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub294 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uacb0\ud569\ub41c \uac83\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc84\ube14\uc740 \uae30\ucd08 \uc218\uc694\uc758 \uc0c1\uc751\ud558\ub294 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc8fc\ub85c \uac00\uaca9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uae30\ub300\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud558\uba70, \ud754\ud788 \ucc28\uc785\uae08\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uae08\uc774 \uc870\ub2ec\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0\uac00 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc9c4\uc815\ud55c \uc7a5\uae30 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ud22c\uae30 \uc790\ubcf8\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5ec \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uc774 \ub4b7\ubc1b\uce68\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc900 \uc774\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ubc00\uc5b4 \uc62c\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ud3c9\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"body\">\uc774 \uc6a9\uc5b4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uae30\ub294 \uc27d\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc785\uc99d\ud558\uae30\ub294 \ub354 \uc5b4\ub835\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uba87 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778 \ud638\ud669\uc744 \uad6c\ubcc4\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\uc218\uc694\uac00 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud558\uace0 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/strong> \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\ub294 \ub2e8\uc77c \uace0\uac1d\uc774\ub098 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc694\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ub86f\ub418\uc5b4 \uc218\ub144\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc81c\uc57d\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/strong> \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825\uc744 \uc2e0\uc18d\ud558\uac8c \ud655\ucda9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uba74, \uc7a5\uae30 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \ub192\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \ucda9\uc871\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc7a5\ube44, \uc778\ud5c8\uac00, \uc219\ub828 \uc778\ub825 \ub610\ub294 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \ud655\ubcf4\uc5d0 \uae34 \ub9ac\ub4dc\ud0c0\uc784\uc774 \uc18c\uc694\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc758 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\ub204\uac00 \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc9c0\ubd88\ud558\ub294\uac00?<\/strong> \uc7a5\uae30 \uacc4\uc57d, \uc815\ubd80 \uc608\uc0b0 \ub610\ub294 \ud0c4\ud0c4\ud55c \uc7ac\ubb34\uc0c1\ud0dc\ud45c\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub294 \ucc28\uc785\uc774\ub098 \ud22c\uae30\uc801 \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uc694\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc18\uc601\ub41c \uac83\uc740 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uac00?<\/strong> \ucd94\uc138\ub294 \uadf8\uc640 \uc5f0\uad00\ub41c \uc99d\uad8c\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \ub192\uc740 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc218\ub144\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud14c\ub9c8\uc640 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158\uc740 \ubcc4\uac1c\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\ubb34\uc5c7\uc774 \uc774\ub97c \ub05d\ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uac00?<\/strong> \uc218\uc694\ub97c \ub454\ud654\uc2dc\ud0a4\uac70\ub098 \uacf5\uae09 \uc81c\uc57d\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uc870\uac74\uc744 \ud30c\uc545\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uac00 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \ubb34\uae30\ud55c \uc9c0\uc18d\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \uac00\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \ubaa8\ub2c8\ud130\ub9c1\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub454 \ud22c\uc790\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\ud0c0\uc774\ubc0d.<\/strong> \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc0ac\ud6c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uc7a5 \uc2e0\ub8b0\uc131 \uc788\uac8c \uc2dd\ubcc4\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc758 \uc9c4\uc785 \uc2dc\uc810\uc740 \ub108\ubb34 \uc774\ub974\uac70\ub098 \ub2a6\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc5d0\ub294 \uc911\uac04\uc5d0 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ud558\ub77d\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\uacf5\uae09 \ub300\uc751.<\/strong> \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \uc2e0\uaddc \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub2a5\ub825\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uacb0\uad6d \uacf5\uae09 \uacfc\uc789\uc744 \ucd08\ub798\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\uae30\uc220 \ubcc0\ud654.<\/strong> \ud6a8\uc728\uc131 \ud5a5\uc0c1\uc774\ub098 \ub300\uccb4\uc7ac\ub294 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc18c\uc7ac \ub610\ub294 \uc7a5\ube44\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uac10\uc18c\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\uc815\ucc45.<\/strong> \uc815\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc6d0, \ubb34\uc5ed \uaddc\uc815 \ubc0f \uc778\ud5c8\uac00\ub294 \ubcc0\uacbd\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub418\uac70\ub098 \ub454\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"body\"><strong>\ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158.<\/strong> \uc778\uae30 \uc788\ub294 \ud14c\ub9c8\ub294 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uc774 \uac1c\uc120\ub418\ub294 \uc18d\ub3c4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc790\ubcf8\uc744 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc5d0\ub294 \uc6d0\uae08 \uc190\uc2e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc218\ubc18\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"faqh\">\uc790\uc8fc \ubb3b\ub294 \uc9c8\ubb38<\/h2>\n<h3>\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc624\ub798 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub429\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"faqa\">\uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \uad00\ud55c \uc5f0\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uae30\ub294 \uc57d 10\ub144\uc5d0\uc11c 35\ub144\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc804\uccb4 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc57d 20\ub144\uc5d0\uc11c 70\ub144\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5d0\ub974\ud150(Erten)\uacfc \uc624\uce84\ud3ec(Ocampo)\ub294 1865\ub144\ubd80\ud130 2009\ub144 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0 \ub124 \ucc28\ub840\uc758 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc2dd\ubcc4\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uac01 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc57d 30\ub144\uc5d0\uc11c 40\ub144\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc774\uc678 \ubd84\uc57c\uc758 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \ub35c \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uce21\uc815\ub418\uba70, \uadf8 \uae30\uac04\uc740 \uacf5\uae09\uc774 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ube68\ub9ac \ub530\ub77c\uc7a1\ub294\uc9c0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \uacbd\uae30 \uc21c\ud658\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"faqa\">\uacbd\uae30 \uc21c\ud658\uc740 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uc81c \ud65c\ub3d9\uc758 \ud655\uc7a5\uacfc \uc218\ucd95\uc73c\ub85c, \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc218\ub144\uac04 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac\ub098 \ud2b9\uc815 \ubc94\uc8fc\uc758 \uc778\ud504\ub77c\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc218\uc694\u00b7\uacf5\uae09 \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \uae34, \ud754\ud788 \uc218\uc2ed \ub144\uc5d0 \uac78\uce5c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc5ec\ub7ec \ucc28\ub840\uc758 \uacbd\uae30 \uc21c\ud658\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uacfc\uac70 \uc6d0\uc790\uc7ac \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc758 \ub3d9\uc778\uc740 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc774\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"faqa\">\uc5f0\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc720\ub7fd\uc758 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud654, \uc804\ud6c4 \uc7ac\uac74, \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc2e0\ud765 \uacbd\uc81c\uad6d\uc758 \uae09\uc18d\ud55c \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud654 \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc218\uc694 \uc99d\uac00 \uc2dc\uae30\uc640 \uc5f0\uad00 \uc9d3\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac01 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc790\uc758 \uacf5\uae09 \ud655\ub300 \uc18d\ub3c4\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uc5ec, \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uc7a5\uae30 \ucd94\uc138\ub97c \uc6c3\ub3c4\ub294 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0 \uba38\ubb3c\ub800\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589\ub418\ub294 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc774\ub97c \uc2dd\ubcc4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"faqa\">\ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \uc218\ubc18\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub9cc \uac00\ub2a5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 \ucd94\uc138\ub85c\ubd80\ud130\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801 \uc774\ud0c8\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud558\uc5ec \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc744 \uc2dd\ubcc4\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc218\uc2ed \ub144\uac04\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ud655\ubcf4\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc744 \ub54c \ub354 \uc6a9\uc774\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc774 \uc9c4\ud589 \uc911\uc77c \ub54c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \uc218\uc694\uc758 \ud3ed, \uacf5\uae09 \uc81c\uc57d \ubc0f \uc790\uae08 \uc870\ub2ec\uc744 \uac80\ud1a0\ud558\uc5ec \uadf8 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc131\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774\ub97c \uc0ac\uc804\uc5d0 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218\ub294 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uad00\ub828 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/h3>\n<p class=\"faqa\">\uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \ub610\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc5ec\uac74\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \ud2b9\uc815 \uc99d\uad8c\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac00\ub294 \uae30\ub300\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \ud2b9\uc815 \uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uacfc \uc5f0\uacc4\ub41c \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc5d0\ub294 \uc608\uc0c1\ub418\ub294 \uc131\uc7a5\uc758 \uc0c1\ub2f9 \ubd80\ubd84\uc774 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc18\uc601\ub418\uc5b4 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \ubc38\ub958\uc5d0\uc774\uc158\uacfc \uae30\uc5c5 \ud380\ub354\uba58\ud138\uc744 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \ucd94\uc138\uc640 \ubcc4\ub3c4\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<div class=\"notes\">\n<div class=\"src-h\">NOTES<\/div>\n<ol>\n<li>Bilge Erten and Jos\u00e9 Antonio Ocampo, &#8220;Super-cycles of commodity prices since the mid-nineteenth century,&#8221; UN DESA Working Paper No. 110 (2012\ub144 2\uc6d4).<\/li>\n<li>Bilge Erten and Jos\u00e9 Antonio Ocampo, &#8220;Super Cycles of Commodity Prices Since the Mid-Nineteenth Century,&#8221; World Development, Vol. 44 (2013\ub144 4\uc6d4), 14~30\ucabd.<\/li>\n<li>David S. Jacks, &#8220;From Boom to Bust: A Typology of Real Commodity Prices in the Long Run,&#8221; NBER Working Paper No. 18874 (2013).<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"disc-h\">IMPORTANT INFORMATION<\/div>\n<p class=\"disc\">\ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc\ub294 \uad50\uc721 \ubaa9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub9cc \uc81c\uacf5\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uc790\ub8cc\ub294 \ud22c\uc790, \ubc95\ub960 \ub610\ub294 \uc138\ubb34 \uc790\ubb38\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\uba70, \uc5b4\ub5a0\ud55c \uc99d\uad8c\uc758 \ub9e4\uc218 \ub610\ub294 \ub9e4\ub3c4\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ucd94\ucc9c\uc774\ub098 \uccad\uc57d\uc774 \uc544\ub2d9\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc815\ubcf4\ub294 \uac8c\uc2dc\uc77c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ub418\ub294 \ucd9c\ucc98\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5bb\uc740 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc815\ud655\uc131\uc774\ub098 \uc644\uc804\uc131\uc774 \ubcf4\uc7a5\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0, \uc0ac\uc804 \ud1b5\uc9c0 \uc5c6\uc774 \ubcc0\uacbd\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc81c3\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \uadc0\uc18d\ub41c \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc81c3\uc790\uc758 \ucd94\uc815\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc804\ub9dd \ubc0f \uc608\uce21\uc740 \ubbf8\ub798 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \ud22c\uc790 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \uc7ac\ubb34, \ubc95\ub960 \ubc0f \uc138\ubb34 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\uc640 \uc0c1\ub2f4\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\uc5d0\ub294 \uc6d0\uae08 \uc190\uc2e4 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \ub530\ub985\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uc77c \uc0b0\uc5c5 \ub610\ub294 \ud14c\ub9c8\uc5d0 \uc18d\ud55c \uae30\uc5c5\uc740 \uacf5\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801, \uaddc\uc81c\uc801 \ub610\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubcc0\ud654\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc804\ubc18\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud074 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uae30\uc5c5, \uc815\ubd80 \ub610\ub294 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc5b8\uae09\uc740 \uc608\uc2dc \ubaa9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub9cc \uc81c\uacf5\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"disc\">\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\ud558\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790 \ubaa9\ud45c, \uc704\ud5d8, \uc218\uc218\ub8cc \ubc0f \ube44\uc6a9\uc744 \uc2e0\uc911\ud788 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc815\ubcf4 \ubc0f \ud380\ub4dc\uc5d0 \uad00\ud55c \uae30\ud0c0 \uc815\ubcf4\uac00 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c \ud22c\uc790\uc124\uba85\uc11c \ub610\ub294 \uac04\uc774\ud22c\uc790\uc124\uba85\uc11c\ub294 (844) 875-2288\ub85c \uc804\ud654\ud558\uc2dc\uac70\ub098 www.VistaShares.com\uc744 \ubc29\ubb38\ud558\uc5ec \ubc1b\uc73c\uc2e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud22c\uc790\ud558\uae30 \uc804\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc790\uc124\uba85\uc11c \ub610\ub294 \uac04\uc774\ud22c\uc790\uc124\uba85\uc11c\ub97c \uc8fc\uc758 \uae4a\uac8c \uc77d\uc73c\uc2ed\uc2dc\uc624.<\/p>\n<p class=\"disc\"><strong>Foreside Fund Services, LLC, \ud310\ub9e4\ud68c\uc0ac.<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc288\ud37c\uc0ac\uc774\ud074\uc740 10\ub144 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc694 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud615 \ud655\uc7a5\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc6a9\uc5b4\uc758 \uc720\ub798, \uc5f0\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub97c \uc815\uc758\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uad00\ub828 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uc2ed\uc2dc\uc624.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4944,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[31],"class_list":["post-4964","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-how-it-works-strategy-overviews","tag-ai"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.2 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A supercycle is a long, demand-driven expansion lasting a decade or more. 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